10/27/2016

Where is flood risk management going?


Last week I was lucky enough to attend the 3rd FloodRisk 2016 European Conference of Flood Risk Management in Lyon, France in order to present research from the IDEA project at Oxford Brookes University which I am currently working on. This research relates to the improvement of data management as a means to improving damage assessment, cost-benefit analysis of flood risk management strategies and compensation processes. My presentation focused on the data requirements for forensic disaster investigations, a relatively new and innovative approach to understanding the drivers of damage in disasters. Here I present some observations about the conference.



Prevailing themes

The Role of Community

The first day focused mainly on the role that communities do and can play in flood risk management.

  • ·         Erik Wagner from the Dutch Waterboard spoke about a lack of awareness in Holland among the people who have never experienced a flood in their lifetime and the challenges associated with raising awareness of flooding.
  • ·         Mario Mendiondo from the Brazilian Ministry of Science spoke about the benefits of public participation in urban planning as a means to engage.
  • ·         Lindsey McEwan from the University of West of England spoke about knowledge integration and the capturing of data through community archives.
  • ·         Jonathan Simm from HR Walingford presented about Arnstein’s ladder of participation and claims they have data on community groups who manage flood risk and promotes the building of community capacities to manage initiatives.
  • ·         Others spoke of digital storytelling as a way of capturing memories of flooding

Data and Modelling

Another overarching theme of presentations focused on the need for improved datasets and data sources in order to improve damage assessment and prediction. This is very much in line with the work of the IDEA project.

Infrastructure and Escalation of Risk

Discussions around the importance of damage to infrastructure is an emerging theme that seems to be growing. This is coming from an understanding that preventing damage to buildings is relatively straightforward with engineering solutions and zoning policies tackling the physical risk to properties. It is now being recognised that the more complex and potentially disastrous impacts can come from damage to the increasingly complex and interconnected infrastructure networks and the interactions they have with social and economic activities. This is borne out by the recent release of the Government’s National Flood resilience Report which outlines the need to better understand risk and protect local infrastructure.

Community Data Gathering

Linking the previous two areas of interest was a specific focus on how community sourcing of data and help to improve understandings of flooding and thus improve flood risk modelling and damage assessment.

  • ·         Jerome Le Coz spoke about citizen science and crowd sourced data giving examples of Flood Patrol in the Phillipines and using image analysis techniques in order to understand water speeds and depths etc.
  • ·         Olivier Piotte from Vigicrues presented about his work on collecting data about high water marks through crowd sourced data which feed into French FRM strategy.
  • ·         Teresa Fenn from Risk Policy Analysts spoke about her work in assessing the damage caused by flooding in the UK in 2013. Her findings displayed high uncertainty and difficulty in disaggregating flood damage from other damages such as economic.
  • ·         Lehmann from the US Army Copr of Engineers gave a presentation about a system he developed which allows for quick and dirty estimations of damage in order to see if further investigation is necessary.  Based on ECAM (Economic Consequence Assessment Model).


Risk and Urban Planning

An area of interest that came out of a session and which a lot of people seemed passionate about is the intersection of urbanity and risk including flooding. It was clear that a gap exists between planning policy and the understanding of risk possibly as a result of the inability of flood risk experts to communicate the importance and impacts of flooding.


Observations


Attendance

The event was attended by academics, policy makers and industry representatives from around Europe and even from countries as far away as Brazil and Peru. As the conference was in France, there was a large French contingent to the detriment of the conference as many presentations had a focus on similar events and similar approaches to Flood Risk Management (FRM) strategies. A strong British, German, Dutch and Italian contingent was notable also with few representatives from countries such as Poland, one of the countries most affected by flooding in Europe.

Lack of Solutions

It seems that the academic world is still grappling with how best to improve our ability to predict flood events and the damage caused yet there seems to be a lack of hard solutions to the risk and the damage. There was an overriding bias towards improving data, modelling and mapping and how these can be implemented in emergency situations and in recovery. There was very little in terms of structural measures and perhaps this is a reflection of the direction in which flood risk management is moving. Where hard solutions were discussed, the discussion was about sustainable alternative large scale solutions and how best to evaluate their performance.

Where to go from here


Sustainable alternatives for flood property-level protection

With the trend for sustainable solutions to flood risk management mostly at river catchment and community level, perhaps there are alternatives for sustainable, building level protection. This could be a very interesting field that can involve a value added element for developers that incentivises better flood risk measures, a solution that was raised as a possible alternative to harder solutions that tend to not be valued by house buyers.

Interaction of urban planning and flood risk

It was generally agreed that flood risk and risk in general is quite far down the list of priorities for urban planners. One of the biggest challenges is in communicating the need for better risk planning and potentially targeting developers as a means of improving the uptake of better solutions. This could be done through incentivising flood management measure through the improvement of sustainable drainage solutions that also add to the living quality of developments.  
Issues of density and risk reduction are also an area that could be explored.  Our understanding of how density and risk of flooding and other risks interact is changing with our changing infrastructure and connectedness. Perhaps collaboration with the planning department could be a strategic move.

Research group/centre

Perhaps a research group that focuses on an innovative area of flood risk could be a good idea. The area of urban planning and flood risk or risk in general is one that could be innovative. This could be initiated between academic institutes or commercial groups.

Expand horizons from Property level solutions


With growing recognition that flood risk needs to be managed at various scales, it could be beneficial to offer a holistic view on flood risk and then market other solutions as fitting within this view. 

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